DEGEN PREDICTIONS
← Back to fixtures

Ipswich vs Man United

Sat 17 Apr 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 32 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ipswich win: 16.4%

Draw: 18.7%

Man United win: 64.9%

Predicted: Man United

Both Teams to Score

No

Probability of Yes: 45.6%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 55.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.33

More corners: Man United (34.5% home / 65.5% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Man United

Yes

Probability Man United wins or draws: 77.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Man United Clearest lean of the available outcomes (65% vs next-best 19%). (65.0% model probability) High
Total Goals Over 2.5 (55.0% model probability) High
Corners Man United (more corners) (66.0% model probability) High
Favorite Avoids Defeat Man United win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (77.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.